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Asian shares consolidated recent gains and currencies kept to tight ranges on Wednesday as investors waited to see what policies might emerge from China’s Communist Party conference.
The twice-a-decade congress is expected to cement the power of President Xi Jinping, who kicked off the week-long event with a wide-ranging speech in which he said the market would be allowed to play a decisive role in allocating resources.
Investors are keen for any direction on economic and financial market reform over the next five years, though history suggests these events can be light on detail.
On Tuesday, the United States again declined to name China as a currency manipulator although it remained critical of the Chinese government’s economic policies ahead of a planned visit to Beijing by President Donald Trump.
The blue-chip CSI300 index .CSI300 was up 0.3 per cent, while Shanghai stocks .SSEC added 0.1 per cent.
Recent economic data from the Asian giant has been generally upbeat, fuelling a tide of optimism about global growth that has benefited shares across the region.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS edged up 0.1 per cent, near their highest since late 2007, while Australia rose 0.2 per cent.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 added 0.1 per cent and was trying to string together a 12th straight session of gains.
An opinion poll by Kyodo showed Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s coalition was on track for a roughly two-thirds majority in Sunday’s general election there.
The bullish mood on equities was evident in the latest fund manager survey from BofA Merrill Lynch.
“For the first time in six years, Goldilocks trumps secular stagnation, with a record high 48 per cent of investors surveyed expecting above-trend economic growth and below-trend inflation,” the survey found.
Investors were bearish on bonds with 82 per cent of those surveyed expecting yields to rise in the next 12 months and a record 85 per cent believing bonds were overvalued.
BEARISH ON BONDS
Yields on two-year US Treasury paper US2YT=RR have hit their highest since November 2008 amid speculation President Trump could chose a more hawkish leader to replace Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen.
Interest rates futures imply around a 90 per cent probability of a Fed hike in December FEDWATCH.
The shift upward in yields lifted the dollar to one-week top against a basket of currencies .DXY, and kept it steady on the yen at 112.17 JPY=.
The euro was holding at $1.1772 EUR=, still some way above the recent low and major chart support at $1.1667.
Dealers were wary ahead of speeches by several policymakers from the European Central Bank due later on Wednesday, which includes President Mario Draghi.
The biggest mover had been Mexico's peso MXN= which boasted its biggest rise in over four months after trade ministers from the United States, Canada and Mexico extended the deadline on a contentious round of talks.
On Wall Street, the Dow .DJI ended up a slim 0.18 per cent having briefly broken above the 23,000-point mark for the first time on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.07 per cent and the Nasdaq .IXIC dipped 0.01 per cent.
Shares in IBM (IBM.N) jumped nearly 5 per cent after hours as a shift to newer businesses such as cloud and security services helped it beat Wall Street’s quarterly revenue estimates.
In commodity markets, talk of higher US interest rates kept gold pinned at XAU= $1,288.10 an ounce.
Oil prices got a boost from a drop in US crude inventories and concerns that tensions in the Middle East could disrupt supplies. Brent crude futures LCOc1 firmed 43 cents to $58.30 per barrel, while US crude CLc1 gained 26 cents to $52.14.