Economists call for strategic budget to revive growth

Experts and economists have urged the government to use the national budget for the next fiscal year as a strategic instrument to revive economic growth while maintaining macroeconomic stability, warning that Bangladesh’s economy remains under severe stress amid persistently high inflation, sluggish private sector credit growth, and rising fiscal pressure.

Speaking on Thursday, they said the country’s macroeconomic condition continues to be fragile, with inflation remaining elevated for an extended period, private sector credit growth dropping to a record low, and fears mounting over a possible fiscal shortfall in the upcoming fiscal year.

They also recommended undertaking robust reforms to create the conditions necessary for expansionary fiscal and monetary policies, alongside ensuring stronger discipline and accountability in economic management to secure the best value for public money.

These observations came at the launch of the Monthly Macroeconomic Insights report titled “Restoring Growth through Productivity Reforms: Pre-Budget Priorities”, prepared by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis (CMEA) of the Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh.

Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), attended the event as the chief guest at the event at PRI office, while it was chaired by Zaidi Sattar, chairman of the PRI.

“The economy now stands at a crossroads. Growth has slowed significantly, investment momentum has weakened, inflation remains elevated, and vulnerabilities in the fiscal, financial, and energy sectors continue to constrain policy space,” said Zaidi Sattar at his opening remarks.

Macroeconomic stabilization alone will not be sufficient to restore high and sustainable growth, he said, adding that the economy now requires a new phase of productivity-enhancing reforms.

He proposed reforms in the fields of rationalizing gargantuan tariffs, revamping trade openness, improving the investment climate, reforming the energy sector, restructuring state-owned enterprises, promoting FDI, and investing in critical infrastructure. 

Dr Ashikur Rahman, Principal Economist of PRI, presented the keynote at the event.

He said that a disciplined budget anchored in macroeconomic stability, combined with sustained productivity-enhancing reforms, remains the most credible pathway for restoring Bangladesh’s growth momentum in the current environment. 

The economy is facing a tough crossroads with inflation still elevated, fiscal space increasingly compressed by rising interest payments, and financial sector vulnerabilities continuing to constrain effective credit transmission; the room for expansionary fiscal or monetary stimulus remains limited, he further stated. 

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