Listed foreign firms' Q1 earnings slump amid stubborn inflation, energy disruptions

This year has so far brought no relief to listed multinational companies (MNCs), with earnings declining in the first quarter compared to the same period last year as inflation has not let up.

Persistently high inflation, squeezing consumer demand, and rising operating costs due to increases in the costs of raw materials and energy have complicated the business environment for foreign firms operating in Bangladesh.

This is the backdrop to subdued economic activity. Sluggishness in business has been deepening since the political changeover in August 2024, while inflationary pressure has continued to erode consumers' purchasing power and corporate profitability, according to market analysts.

During the January-March quarter, things turned worse amid geopolitical tensions surrounding the US-Israel conflict involving Iran, which disrupted global energy supply chains.

Inflation hovered around 9 per cent during the quarter, and analysts warned that price pressures may persist in the coming months due to continuing global uncertainties, supply disruptions and elevated import costs.

Of the 13 multinational firms listed on the stock market, 11 have so far disclosed first-quarter financial results for 2026. Only four of these companies posted profit growth, while four others reported profit declines ranging from 12 per cent to 34 per cent.

Two other companies remained in the red due to heavy debt burdens, and one slipped into fresh losses.

Aggregate profits of the 11 firms fell 6 per cent year-on-year to Tk 12.20 billion in January-March this year, while combined revenue declined 4 per cent year-on-year to Tk 103 billion, according to company disclosures.

Marico Bangladesh and Berger Paints follow the April-March accounting year.

Md Akramul Alam, head of research at Royal Capital, said that apart from macroeconomic challenges, tight monetary and fiscal measures adopted by the Bangladesh Bank following the political transition had dampened economic activities.

Private sector credit growth remained weak at around 6 per cent early this year, reflecting poor business confidence and tighter lending conditions.

Mir Ariful Islam, managing director and CEO of Sandhani Asset Management, said multinational companies failed to achieve meaningful revenue growth at a time when consumers had little disposable income.

"Consumers cut back on discretionary spending as essential goods became more expensive," he said, adding that many companies were unable to pass rising costs on to consumers due to weakened purchasing power.

As multinational firms operate across diverse sectors, the reasons behind profit erosion vary from company to company.

Higher finance costs heavily affected firms carrying large debt burdens, while reduced government spending under the Annual Development Programme adversely affected cement manufacturers.

Singer Bangladesh, for example, saw its losses widen 66 per cent year-on-year to Tk 578 million in the January-March quarter due mainly to a 41 per cent surge in finance costs linked to heavy borrowings.

The company attributed the weak performance to sluggish demand in the consumer electronics market, where domestic sales were hurt by inflation, geopolitical tensions, the national election and an extended Eid holiday.

Singer is also facing intensifying competition from local manufacturers such as Walton Group and Vision Electronics, alongside imported brands.

BAT Bangladesh posted a 34 per cent decline in profit to Tk 2.10 billion as lower sales and rising finance costs hit earnings. Net revenue plunged 23 per cent during the quarter through March.

The cigarette maker's domestic sales dropped 21 per cent, while leaf exports fell 23 per cent in the first quarter this year compared to the same quarter last year.

Meanwhile, reduced government spending under the Annual Development Programme adversely affected cement manufacturers, according to Mr Alam. The overall construction sector remained under pressure due to high inflation and weaker infrastructure activity during the quarter.

Heidelberg Materials Bangladesh slipped into a loss of Tk 50 million in the March quarter, compared with a profit of Tk 197 million a year earlier, after sales dropped 16 per cent.

The company said higher prices of key raw materials squeezed margins, while intense competition prevented it from fully passing additional costs on to customers.

Another cement maker, LafargeHolcim Bangladesh, reported a 19 per cent year-on-year decline in profit to Tk 1.12 billion in the quarter as sales fell 6 per cent amid elevated inflation, tighter private sector credit and slower public infrastructure spending.

Rising energy costs linked to the Middle East crisis and persistent inflationary pressures reduced profitability, although operational efficiency and strict cost discipline helped cement makers preserve margins.

"Despite a challenging landscape defined by persistent inflation and higher energy costs, we remain committed to resilience through innovation and operational excellence," said Iqbal Chowdhury, chief executive officer of LafargeHolcim.

Fast-moving consumer goods companies also struggled with low sales as households prioritised essential food spending over discretionary purchases.

Unilever Consumer Care reported a 12 per cent year-on-year decline in profit, while Reckitt Benckiser Bangladesh posted a 28 per cent drop in earnings during the quarter compared to the corresponding period last year.

Masud Khan, chairman of Unilever Consumer Care, attributed the weaker business performance to macroeconomic and seasonal factors.

"A depressed economy, the national election and Ramadan all contributed to pressure on sales and margins," he said.

However, Bangladesh's two leading telecom operators managed to post profit growth through cost efficiency and stronger data revenue.

Grameenphone recorded revenue of Tk 37.6 billion in the January-March quarter, down 2 per cent year-on-year. Despite lower revenue, net profit rose 4.4 per cent due to improved cost management and lower finance costs.

Yasir Azman, chief executive officer of Grameenphone, said the company maintained stable financial and operational performance despite external challenges.

Robi Axiata posted an 86 per cent surge in profits, supported by strong revenue growth and disciplined cost management.

Ziad Shatara, managing director and CEO of Robi, said higher revenue was driven by robust growth in data usage and increasing numbers of 4G users.

Linde Bangladesh also reported a 36 per cent growth in profit, driven by higher sales and an 18 per cent decline in operating expenses following the divestment of its subsidiary last year.

Similarly, Bata Shoe posted marginal profit growth, supported mainly by Eid-centric seasonal sales, although overall retail demand remained weak.

Mr Ariful Islam of Sandhani Asset Management warned that corporate profits could remain under pressure over the next two quarters due to the ongoing energy crisis stemming from Middle East tensions.

"Macroeconomic improvement and restoration of consumer confidence are crucial for business recovery in the coming months," said Mr Alam of Royal Capital.

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