Economy
11 hours ago

Financing bigger budget for FY27

Govt to launch broad-based drive for netting larger NTR, non-NBR revenues

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The government launches a broad-based drive to augment revenue receipts outside the NBR purview with a target of netting Tk 910 billion for the forthcoming fiscal year, as a bigger budget is imminent.

Official count shows the amount for the fiscal 2026-27 is 39.5-percent higher from that of the outgoing fiscal year's target.

Of the total sum, the Finance Division is set to fix a non-tax revenue target of Tk 660 billion, up from Tk 460 billion in the current fiscal year, 2025-26, while the target for non-NBR taxes is expected to be raised to Tk 250 billion from Tk 190 billion.

Non-tax revenue is expected to rise by 43.48 per cent while  Non-NBR tax collection is projected to increase by 31.58 per cent in the next fiscal year, reveals a proposal placed at the Budget Monitoring and Resource Committee meeting recently hosted by the Finance Division.

The just-in government is deemed under tremendous pressure to increase revenue collection to create requisite fiscal space for funding poor people's needs.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) wants Bangladesh substantially enhances its tax-to-GDP ratio to 9.21 per cent by next fiscal year from the current rate of 6.9 per cent.

To achieve the targeted tax-to-GDP ratio of 9.21 the government is going to set  total revenue-collection target at Tk 6.95 trillion for the upcoming fiscal year, up by 23.23 per cent from the original one for the current fiscal year.

A review of internal government data, however, shows actual non-tax revenue collection has consistently lagged behind budgetary targets, with performance deteriorating in recent years.

In FY2023-24, actual receipts came to just 55.63 per cent of the original target, down from 70.47 per cent in FY 2018-19.

Officials say the latest push focuses on modernising collection systems, rationalising fees, expanding revenue bases, and enforcing stricter process for recovery of government dues.

The non-NBR tax collection exceeded 80 per cent of the targets on average in FY2016-17 and FY2017-18, but in the subsequent years, receipts from this segment fell to nearly 40 per cent of the original budgetary targets.

The Finance Division has recommended that all ministries and divisions focus on modernised and automated revenue collection, mandatory use of A-challan, rationalisation of outdated fees, and expansion of revenue bases ahead of the national budget formulation.

In tripartite meetings held with various ministries during the budget-preparation process in last few weeks, the Finance Division also emphasised "stricter enforcement, improved asset management, and recovery of long-pending government dues, particularly in sectors such as transport, housing, and infrastructure where collection performance remains weak".

At the core of the recommendations is a push for ministry-specific accountability through realistic target setting, stronger governance, and data-driven reforms aimed at reducing revenue leakages and improving overall fiscal sustainability, according to an analysis of the minutes of 18 such meetings.

The minutes reveal that the Ministry of Food will be the largest contributor of non-tax revenues in the next fiscal year, with a recommended target of Tk 226.35 billion, largely driven by food-grain sales.

Major non-tax revenue sources include licence fees, fines and penalties, forfeiture of deposits, rent from non-residential buildings, government vehicle-usage fees, and proceeds from the sale of tender and other documents, though collection efficiency remains suboptimal.

The Finance Division has recommended reviewing these revenue streams, expanding their coverage, and rationally adjusting fees and charges, with the Finance Secretary noting that such reforms could "significantly improve overall revenue mobilisation".

Road Transport and Highways Division (RTHD) has been assigned to mobilise Tk 67.87 billion, but concerns persist over the weak collection by agencies like the Roads and Highways Department (RHD) and Bangladesh Road Transport Authority (BRTA).

The authorities have been advised to strengthen enforcement of vehicle registration and fitness certification and modernise toll-collection systems, claiming that a 25-percent hike in BRTA fees in December 2022 fails to ensure revenue growth.

The division has also been asked to recover Tk 12.85 billion in outstanding dues from Bangladesh Road Transport Corporation (BRTC).

The Ministry of Industries, with a target of Tk 10.42 billion, has been experiencing declining collection and has been advised to automate revenue processes and expand coverage. The Ministry of Housing and Public Works has been flagged for a sharp drop in rental income and asked to incorporate additional sources like transfer and mutation fees into its estimates.

In contrast, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has seen its revenue target sharply revised upward to Tk 1.0 billion from Tk 181.8 million after recent collections exceeded earlier projections.

Smaller ministries, including Women and Children Affairs and Social Welfare, have been instructed to revise outmoded fee structures.

The review also has highlighted governance concerns, particularly in the Bridges Division, where outstanding government loans amounting to around Tk 8.0 billion remain unsettled, including some agreements dating back to 1994.

Officials note a structural shift in revenue composition, with non-tax revenue gaining prominence as non-NBR taxes continue to under-perform.

"Boosting government revenue requires equal emphasis on both tax and non-tax streams -- from within and beyond the National Board of Revenue as non-NBR sources should account for a quarter of total receipts," says Prof Mustafizur Rahman, Distinguished Fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD).

He told The Financial Express that significant inefficiencies persist in revenue collection, noting that in many cases tolls or rents due to the government are leased out to private parties at lower rates, leading to revenue losses.

"While discussions often focus on expanding the tax base or leveraging technology in tax administration, equal importance should be given to addressing leakages and structural weaknesses in non-tax revenue streams," he suggests.

Expressing concern over the performance of state-owned corporations and industrial enterprises, he says it is important to examine why many public entities have been incurring losses for decades.

syful-islam@outlook.com

jahid.rn@gmail.com 

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