The Financial Express

Asian shares bounce after losses, dollar sags on weak US CPI

| Updated: October 18, 2017 10:01:22

Men walk past an electronic board showing market indices outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, March 2, 2016. Reuters Men walk past an electronic board showing market indices outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, March 2, 2016. Reuters

Asian stocks bounced on Monday after three losing sessions, tracking a firmer Wall Street, while the dollar was weighed down by tensions on the Korean peninsula and weak US inflation data which dampened prospects of another Federal Reserve interest rate hike later this year.


Overall reaction was subdued to Monday's Chinese data which were generally weaker than forecast, and reinforced views that the world's second-largest economy is starting to lose a bit of steam as lending costs rise and the property market cools.


MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 0.7 per cent. The index had fallen for three straight days previously, losing a combined 3 per cent, on escalating tensions between the United States and North Korea.


Australian stocks rose 0.5 per cent and South Korea's KOSPI .KS11 climbed 0.4 per cent.


Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI was up 0.8 per cent and Shanghai .SSEC added 0.2 per cent.


China's factory output in July grew 6.4 per cent from a year earlier, short of the 7.2 per cent forecast, while fixed-asset investment expanded 8.3 per cent in the first seven months against expectations for growth of 8.6 per cent.


Geopolitical risks were expected to remain a key theme for the global markets in the near term, as North Korea celebrates Liberation Day on Tuesday to mark the end of Japanese rule.


Investors also braced for tensions ahead of Aug 21, when an annual joint US-South Korean military exercise is due to begin.


"Due to caution towards a further escalation in tensions over North Korea, US yields and equities are expected to decline and the yen is likely keep appreciating this week," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief forex strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.


Japan's Nikkei .N225 bucked the trend and fell 1 per cent as a stronger yen overshadowed much better-than-expected second quarter economic growth.


The three major US stocks indexes snapped three days of losses and ended higher on Friday, as investors bet on slower US rate hikes following weaker-than-expected consumer price data. But gains were muted by increasingly aggressive exchanges between Washington and Pyongyang.


US Treasury yields, which already declined on the North Korean concerns, fell further on Friday on the soft US. consumer prices data. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR touched 2.182 per cent on Friday, its lowest since late June, before pulling back a little to 2.204 per cent on Monday.


Friday's data showed the US consumer price index edged up just 0.1 per cent last month after it was unchanged in June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI rising 0.2 per cent in July.


The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was flat at 93.076 .DXY after it slipped about 0.4 per cent on Friday.


The greenback traded slightly higher at 109.370 yen JPY= after slipping to 108.720 on Friday, its weakest since April 20.


The yen tends to gain in times of geopolitical tension on expectations that Japanese investors will repatriate assets.


It also showed little reaction to second-quarter gross domestic product data which revealed that the economy expanded for a sixth straight quarter led by private consumption and capital expenditure.


While growth was faster than expected, it is not expected to nudge the Bank of Japan into dismantling its massive stimulus program any time soon, as inflation remains stubbornly weak.


The euro was 0.1 per cent higher at $1.1824 EUR.


Crude oil prices edged down after rising slightly on Friday on lower US crude stocks, instability in major producer Nigeria and strong global demand growth.


US crude CLc1 was down 2 cents at $48.80 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 was 7 cents lower at $52.03 a barrel.


Gold hovered near a two-month high, benefiting from the US-North Korean tensions and Friday's weak US inflation data. The dollar's recent weakness was also seen to be helping gold.


Spot gold XAU was a shade lower at $1,287.51 an ounce after reaching $1,291.86 on Friday, its highest level since June 7.


Other precious metals such as silver XAG and platinum XPT were also buoyant.

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