Quality gas and electricity supply for industries

The Financial Express reports (February 11, 2025) that the 'final economic growth for the last fiscal year was lowered by 1.60 percentage points to only 4.22 per cent as the real export earnings were much lower than the projected statistics of Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) data showed. The BBS preliminary estimation put the FY 24 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 5.82 per cent'

BBS data further confirm that the fall of industrial production and exports are the key reasons for the downward GDP growth rate. Published data indicate that the industrial sector growth of the country was reduced to 3.51 per cent in the final GDP data (estimates published a few months ago was 6.66 per cent) in the preliminary report). Different research groups and experts have attributed the poor industrial growth to political turmoil in 2024, lack of investors' confidence and absence of congenial business climate.

The readymade garments (RMG) manufacturing industries have been securing the country's major share of export earnings. With the growth of the RMG sector, textile (spinning and weaving) segments have flourished as a backward linkage of the garments sector in the country. The garments industry leaders have been raising concerns that the backward linkage industries have been losing competitiveness due to primary energy (natural gas) supply shortages and its higher cost. As a result, the RMG sector operators now prefer imported raw materials from India and China for their productions.

Various published reports based on studies by business chambers and trade bodies claim that industrial productions in Bangladesh suffer about 30-40 per  cent losses due to gas and electricity supply shortages. Cost of industrial productions have increased due to high cost of energy. Poor quality supply of gas and electricity has been systematically harming the equipment and machinery, adding increased repairing and maintenance costs for industries. As the costs for energy has been increasing steadily, unreliable supply of gas and electricity put the industries in a disadvantaged situation. As the RMG sector is increasingly relying on imported raw materials, value addition is declining in the sector.

Business leader and President of Bangladesh Chamber of Industries Anwar-ul Alam Chowdhury in a recent interview with Energy & Power Magazine stated that 'the spinning and weaving industries had lost competitiveness despite increased productivity and enhanced fuel efficiency'. He further informed that the gas price had been increasing systematically for last couple of years and the industry owners had agreed to pay Taka 30 per MSCF on condition of quality gas supply. The gas price has been increased but the supply quality did not improve. The governmnet claims that the import LNG and its processing cost for gas supply involve more than double the price of gas the industry owners pay for per unit of supplied gas. Petrobangla sources inform that  its losses reached approximately Taka 16,000 crores in the current fiscal and the dependence of Petrobangla has increased on the government subsidies. Generally, Petrobangla losses are linked with low sales prices (subsidised prices) of natural gas to different sectors of consumers. On the contrary, Energy Adviser of the present interim government Dr. Muhammad Fauzul Kabir Khan informed the media that the government spends Taka 72 per unit for importing gas and supply at Taka 30 per unit.

Reports on daily gas & condensate production and distribution of Petrobangla suggest that the total gas production in the country including imported LNG was 2,689.8 mmcfd. Imported LNG had only 781.6 mmcfd share. The share of LNG in the supplied gas is less than 30 per cent. Therefore, the import and processing costs for re-gasified LNG should not be fully transferred to industrial consumers.

Domestic gas productions from the existing 29 gas fields in Bangladesh have been steadily declining (approximately at a rate of 200 mmcfd per annum) since 2018  and reliance on imported LNG has been increasing. At the same time Petrobangla can not speed up LNG import as the existing LNG storage and processing facilities have maximum installed capacity of 1,000 mmcf per day. The proven gas reserve of the country has been declining fast (it is estimated that the country has 7.6 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of gas reserve). The annual consumption if restricted within 1 Tcf gas from the domestic reserve sources, the domestic reserve may last maximum 7-8 years (if no more major viable gas reserve will be added). Thus the consumers have to increasingly rely on imported LNG (subject to availability and expansion of LNG storage and processing facilities).

Necessary initiatives are needed to accelerate the government organisations to explore all possible commercially viable energy resources in the country. Considering the limitations of rapid increment of quality gas supply for industries, businesses demand urgent initiatives for improvements in national electricity grid infrastructure and distribution systems for securing quality power supply for industries.

Mushfiqur Rahman is a mining engineer. He writes on energy and environment issues.

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